Accelerating energy market analytics through collaboration, networking and alliances
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Unscripted, unfiltered, raw, honest, true. Welcome to Rambunctious Bodacious Newscast. RBN: The Voicenotes. Tune in weekly for an unscripted, unfiltered, raw, honest, true behind the scenes perspectives.
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Road to Alaska - Are Alaska LNG's Strengths Enough to Outweigh Its Costs, Construction Challenges?
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16:11The Trump administration is trying to breathe new life into the long-dormant Alaska LNG project, talking up its strengths and encouraging potential Asian customers and investors to consider it. But the project, a multibillion-dollar plan to pipe natural gas from Alaska’s North Slope to Anchorage and Cook Inlet for liquefaction and export, faces hug…
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Under the Pressure - U.S. Energy Industry Dodges a Bullet as New Fees Target Chinese Shipping
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12:11The U.S. government recently released the final rules for the Section 301 fees proposed earlier this year, intended to address the dominance of China’s shipbuilding industry. According to the new rules, exports on Chinese-owned, -operated or -built vessels are mostly excluded — great news for U.S. energy producers and exporters, especially in the N…
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Only Happy When It Rains - Counting on a Boom in Natural Gas Demand for Power?
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14:31Rising demand for electricity to serve data centers, manufacturing and other power-consuming sectors of the economy is spurring the development of scores of gas-fired plants — up to 100 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity by 2040. How much power those new plants will actually generate — and, with that, how much natural gas they will require — remain ope…
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Pictures of You - Regional Balances Tell the Tale of the U.S. Crude Oil Market
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9:06Over the past 15 years, the U.S.’s crude oil supply/demand balance has been transformed by the Shale Revolution. Increasing production unlocked through horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing have pushed up the nation’s overall supply without an equal change in refining capacity, resulting in significant changes in regional balances. In today’…
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Together in Electric Dreams - For Tech Giants, Powering Data Centers is Not All About Natural Gas
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11:48Tech giants such as Google, Amazon and Meta have long sought to meet their data-center power needs while at least limiting their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. But while many developers and utilities have turned to natural gas to power data centers because of its ability to provide reliable 24/7 power, renewable generation continues to play a role…
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Wanna Be Startin' Somethin' - Developing Natural Gas Storage Infrastructure in Unsettled Times
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14:36Taking a nine- or 10-figure energy infrastructure project from concept to fruition is never easy. Siting dilemmas, permitting woes, commitment-wary customers, financing snags, legal challenges — there are seemingly endless hurdles. And that’s in normal times. Add in market volatility and fast-changing governmental policies and a developer’s job bec…
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Dig a Little Deeper - Haynesville Presents Opportunities, Challenges for Gas Producers
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12:23The boundaries of what we typically think of as the Haynesville Shale in Northeast Texas and Northwest Louisiana are expanding. E&Ps are increasingly moving out from the core producing acreage and exploring new frontiers, including the far western part of the dry-gas shale play. Wrangling gas from this prospect is challenging, with deeper, high-pre…
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Money Can Buy It - After Permian M&A Spree, E&Ps Throttle Growth While Integrateds Motor On
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17:11The record $120 billion upstream M&A spending spree in 2024 focused on the consolidation of Permian Basin positions by the major U.S. publicly traded oil and gas companies. With crude oil prices stagnant in the $70-$80/bbl range, producers were driven to boost Tier 1 acreage and capture operational synergies to fund the generous shareholder returns…
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One Piece at a Time - Upstream Consolidation in Western Canada Quickens With Whitecap/Veren Deal
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13:39In an industry such as oil and gas that is beset with more uncertainty than usual of late due to geopolitical upsets, bubbling trade wars and a recent plunge in crude oil prices, being a larger company with the resources to survive the turbulent times — and thrive when the sailing is smoother — is more important than ever. For Western Canada’s ener…
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Lovers in a Dangerous Time, Encore Edition - U.S., Canadian Energy Markets Remain Key Allies Despite Trade Tensions
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9:45The North American energy landscape has undergone significant shifts in production, infrastructure and pricing for crude oil, natural gas and NGLs over the past few years and developments within Canada have strengthened its role in the global energy trade, creating opportunities and reshaping supply chains. Yet, the market is constantly changing an…
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Do You Really Want to Hurt Me - Gas Prices at Permian's Waha Hub Roar Higher, Devastating Shorts
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10:46What happens when almost everybody is on the same side of a trade and the fundamentals flip? Yup, max pain. Everyone races for the exits at the same time, sending the market into speculative liquidation mode and causing cascading losses. It can get frantic and ugly — tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars are at stake, and no one’s sure how b…
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I Left My (Crude) In San Francisco - What is Driving PADD 5's Increased Reliance on Imported Crude?
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12:50The West Coast energy market, PADD 5, is undergoing a profound transformation. Consumption of petroleum-based refined products is declining due to a host of factors including increased renewable diesel (RD) usage, slowing population growth, electric vehicle (EV) penetration and fuel efficiency improvements, just to name a few, but that’s only half …
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You Make Me Feel Like a Natural (Gasoline) - Exploring the Quirkiest NGL
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12:34Natural gasoline is the most expensive natural gas liquid (NGL), accounting for more than 25% of the price-weighted NGL barrel (versus 10%-12% of the barrel by volume). It is also notoriously difficult to track, with similar products having different names and unclear demand segments. In fact, the difficulty tracking portions of demand, combined wi…
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You Make Me Feel Like a Natural (Gasoline) - Different Names, Uses Add to Mystery Around Natural Gasoline
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9:30It’s the most expensive NGL, accounting for more than 25% of the value of a weighted average barrel. It is the only NGL that does not require storage or transportation under pressure. And it’s the most misunderstood of the NGLs, going by different names depending on the market and geography, with a chameleon-like characteristic that allows it to be…
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Steady, As She Goes - E&Ps Maintain Stable Investment, Shareholder Returns Ahead of Uncertain 2025
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14:14As the clock approached midnight on December 31, E&P managements and shareholders likely clinked champagne flutes to celebrate a remarkable four years of prosperity for an industry that had been nearly shattered by two decades of periodic financial crisis. Soaring post-pandemic commodity prices and gold-plated balance sheets provided generous cash …
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Bad Blood - Burgeoning U.S.-China Trade War Has Potential to Devastate Propane, Ethane Markets
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14:47Starting on April 10, China will enact an 84% reciprocal tariff on imports of U.S. goods. This increase was in response to the 104% tariff that the U.S. placed on imports of Chinese goods, which was subsequently raised to 125% by President Trump on April 9. China is likely to retaliate further. Unlike China’s February retaliatory tariffs of 10%-15%…
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All Shook Up - Arrow Model Forecasts Shifts in Gas Flows, Basis as New Pipes, LNG Capacity Arrives
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13:20The rapid growth in U.S. natural gas production and LNG exports over the past 10 years was just the beginning. Between now and 2035, gas production in the Permian, Eagle Ford, Haynesville and other plays will continue rising, the Gulf Coast’s LNG export capacity will double and many new pipelines will be built. New gas-fired power plants will be ad…
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We Should Be Friends - Tech Giants' Big-Money Plans for Data Centers Hinge on Gas-Fired Power
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14:25Growing power demand for data centers has been one of the biggest stories in energy markets over the past year, with natural gas-fired power plants emerging as the primary choice for developers seeking to provide the 24/7 power these massive, energy-intensive sites require. That has led many energy firms to unveil plans to sell power directly to da…
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Lovers in a Dangerous Time - U.S., Canadian Energy Markets Remain Key Allies Despite Trade Tensions
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9:45The North American energy landscape has undergone significant shifts in production, infrastructure and pricing for crude oil, natural gas and NGLs over the past few years and developments within Canada have strengthened its role in the global energy trade, creating opportunities and reshaping supply chains. Yet, the market is constantly changing an…
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Slow Dancing - E&Ps Continue Caution on Capex, But Gas Producers Appear Ready to Ease Off the Brakes
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15:44President Trump’s inauguration has pushed a flurry of policy changes, including exhortations to the E&P industry to boost U.S. oil and gas output dramatically. However, in their year-end earnings calls, the major domestic producers struck a more cautious and calmer tone, sticking to the same themes they adopted to recover financial stability and wi…
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Already Gone - Is the Permian Basin Already Out of Natural Gas Takeaway Capacity?
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12:26After a record run of negative pricing last spring and summer, the Permian Basin collectively cheered as WhiteWater’s Matterhorn Express pipeline began flowing last October, bringing much-needed takeaway capacity to the area. Cash prices at the Waha Hub rebounded and the basin had a relatively uneventful winter, but prices began dropping in early M…
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Open Arms - Enterprise's Plan to Return Midland to ECHO 2 to Crude Service Can’t Come Soon Enough
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10:23As crude oil pipelines from the Permian to the Gulf Coast edge closer to full utilization, it’s becoming a challenge for producers and shippers alike. Amid this capacity crunch, converting Enterprise’s Midland to ECHO 2 (M2E-2) pipeline back to crude oil service can’t come quickly enough. In today’s RBN blog — the latest in our series on Permian cr…
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All Shook Up - New Natural Gas Pipes and LNG Terminals Shake Up Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast
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14:47Over the next couple of years, six new pipelines and expansion projects will bring 11.8 Bcf/d of incremental natural gas supplies to the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast. During the same period, more than 8 Bcf/d of new LNG export capacity will move that gas to international markets. The impact of this onslaught of gas flows will be anything but orderly.…
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Personality Crisis - What's Ahead for New England's Power Grid? Is More Gas Part of the Answer?
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12:01Two factors — public concern about soaring utility bills and President Trump’s strong opposition to offshore wind — are forcing New England to rethink its once-ambitious plans for a renewables-heavy electric grid and reassess how to meet its power-generation needs in the late 2020s and early 2030s. One possibility would be to expand the region’s ac…
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Turn the Beat Around - Gas Producers Drive Q4 Earnings Growth as Oil Prices Languish
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13:57Most conversations and analyses around hydrocarbon prices tend to focus on crude oil, if for no other reason than the direct exposure we experience when filling up at the pump. After the commodity price crash in early 2020, which threatened the financial stability of U.S. E&Ps, a subsequent surge in oil prices drove a remarkable recovery, winning b…
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Here, There and Everywhere - Despite Trade Frictions, Enbridge Forges Ahead with Pipeline Expansions
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12:22It might seem crazy to talk about expanding crude oil and diluent pipeline systems between Canada and the U.S. amid what could escalate into an all-out trade war between the two nations. However, Enbridge, one of the largest pipeline operators in the world, is doing just that — actively planning and investing in pipeline expansions for its Mainline…
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Sail Away - Proposed U.S. Fee on Chinese Ships Would Drive Up Costs, Upend Global Energy Logistics
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10:14Huge fees may be coming to ships built in China each time they arrive at a U.S. port. During a hearing in Washington on Monday, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) heard comments on its January 2025 study that laid out China’s strategy to achieve dominance in the global maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding sectors — a strategy that …
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Do You Realize? - Propane Wholesalers Tasked With Balancing Seasonal Demand, Steady Production
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8:51More than 9 billion gallons of propane were delivered to U.S. consumer markets in 2024, primarily for residential heating and cooking. Demand is highly seasonal, which brings a unique set of challenges for buyers, especially on the wholesale side of the market, but production tends to be steadier over the course of the year. In today’s RBN blog, we…
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Don't Stop - Enbridge, Plains All American Offer Full Range of Permian-to-Gulf Infrastructure
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12:38A half dozen large midstream companies provide the full gamut of “wellhead-to-water” services for Permian-sourced natural gas and/or NGLs, and a couple of those offer the same for crude oil as well. For Enbridge and Plains All American, the clear focus has been on crude — pipelines, storage and marine terminals — though Enbridge has been rapidly ex…
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The Waiting Game - Mexico Hoping for Boom in LNG Exports, But Major Hurdles Remain
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10:26Mexico’s LNG sector has seen notable advancements in the past year, including new export project announcements and strategic investments. But many of the proposed LNG projects require extensive pipeline buildouts — no easy task south of the border and perhaps the biggest impediment most of the export projects face. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll look a…
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AECO Prison Blues - Western Canadian Gas Prices Stuck Behind Bars, Even After Winter Price Surges
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14:06Western Canada’s natural gas market never really seems to catch a break. Prices this winter have remained well below those across much of the rest of North America thanks to an all-too-common combination of insufficient pipeline export capacity from the region, bloated gas storage and robust supply growth. Even with forward price prospects for much…
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You Can't Always Get What You Want - Gulf Coast Refiners to be Tested by Loss of Venezuelan Crude
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12:07The Trump administration announced on February 26 that it is ending Chevron’s permit to operate in oil-rich Venezuela, which will halt U.S. imports of Venezuelan crude by early April. These changes, combined with other recent developments, are likely to significantly impact complex U.S. Gulf Coast refiners relying on heavy crude. In today’s RBN blo…
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Don't Stop - ONEOK, MPLX Ramp Up Their Permian-to-Gulf Infrastructure, Sometimes in Tandem
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11:56Crude-oil-focused drilling and completion in the Permian Basin is generating fast-increasing volumes of associated gas — and creating opportunities for midstream companies that provide “wellhead-to-water” services for natural gas and NGLs. ONEOK has become a much bigger player in this space via several transformational acquisitions and MPLX has bee…
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Pastures of Plenty - PADD 4 Pipeline Connections, Higher Output Help it Balance Crude Market
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11:32The Rocky Mountain region (PADD 4), with a population that is both smaller and more spread out than other parts of the Lower 48, consumes only around 650 Mb/d of refined products — just one-fourth the volume of the next-smallest PADD. That limits the need for refinery capacity, which matches the region’s average annual consumption and is only outst…
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Road to Alaska - Long-Dormant Alaska LNG Project Sees Renewed Interest After Support by Trump
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13:25President Trump’s flurry of executive orders upon returning to office included one titled “Unleashing Alaska’s Extraordinary Resource Potential,” which aims to see the realization of the long-dormant Alaska LNG project, a multibillion-dollar plan to bring natural gas several hundred miles from Alaska’s North Slope to Anchorage and Cook Inlet for ev…
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Let Me Be Myself - Location, Connectivity, Quality Help Set Apart WTI Futures Contracts
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11:43As the global crude oil market continuously evolves, so do the tools that traders, refiners and producers rely on to navigate its complexities. Among these tools, futures contracts play a pivotal role, allowing market participants to manage risk and ensure liquidity. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll explore what sets apart two major futures contracts for…
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Personality Crisis - Its Offshore Wind Plans Thwarted, New England Wonders What to Do Next
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11:38New England is determined to shift toward a greener electric grid, but the region’s plan to slash its current reliance on natural gas (and backup fuel oil — and sometimes coal) by ramping up offshore wind and solar (and backup batteries) has hit a seemingly immovable object. President Trump, a staunch opponent of offshore wind, on Day 1 of his seco…
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We Should Be Friends - Tech Giants Increasingly Turning to Natural Gas to Power Data Centers
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13:18The pace of announcements for planned data centers accelerated in 2024 and has continued to gather steam in 2025, with natural gas-fired power plants emerging as a frequent choice, along with nuclear power, to provide the around-the-clock electricity that large-scale data centers want and need. In today’s RBN blog, the first in a series, we’ll deta…
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Don't Stop - Targa Resources, Phillips 66 Detail Plans for Expanding Permian-to-Gulf Infrastructure
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15:36The handful of midstream companies that provide a full range of “wellhead-to-water” services between the Permian and the Gulf Coast are in growth mode, advancing a long list of gas processing plants, takeaway pipelines, fractionators and export terminal expansions. Last time we looked at what Enterprise Products Partners and Energy Transfer are up …
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Virtual Insanity - As Power Needs Soar, 'Virtual' Power Plants Proliferate, But What Are They?
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10:53The U.S. power sector is undergoing a major expansion to keep pace with the rising demand for electricity from data centers and other consumers, and trying to do a lot at once. Keep a lid on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by adding wind, solar and other renewables. Maintain grid reliability by supplementing variable renewable energy with more aroun…
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Room at the Top - NYMEX Leads the Way on WTI Futures Contracts, But There's Room for More
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11:04The U.S. crude oil market has undergone a drastic shift since the Shale Revolution. After a quarter-century of declining production and increasing dependence on imported oil, the U.S. has become the world’s leading producer. This transformation turned the U.S. into a major exporter and a critical supplier to the international market and also led to…
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Breaking Up Is Hard To Do - Move Away From Long-Term Deals Carries Risk for LNG Buyers, Producers
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14:10The long-term contract has been the cornerstone of the global LNG industry since its inception. Such contracts between upstream LNG producers and downstream utility companies have provided buyers with security of supply over a protracted period while guaranteeing producers sufficient income to justify the investment in export facilities and shippin…
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Do You Realize? - Propane Retailers Take the Final Step on Propane's Windy Road
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9:51More than 9 billion gallons of propane were delivered to U.S. consumer markets in 2024, primarily for residential heating and cooking. The final step in propane’s pathway to the retail market is managed by a large group of companies known as retailers, which range in size from “mom and pop” operations that run only a couple of cars serving a local …
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Build Me Up Buttercup - Logistical Challenges, Price Tag Complicate Trump's Goal of Refilling SPR
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13:55Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) inventories have been climbing for more than a year, but they could go much higher if President Trump has his way, as one of his major campaign promises was to refill the SPR “to the very top,” a goal he has repeated since his return to the Oval Office. Current inventories sit just below 400 MMbbl, leaving the SPR …
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Open The Door - Acquisition of Colex Terminal, Sinco Network, Open Up Possibilities for Edgewater
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12:09Edgewater Midstream, a relatively new player in the refined products storage and delivery space, acquired a pair of potentially valuable assets from Shell in the Deer Park, TX, area in December. It now owns the Colex terminal, the starting point of the all-important Colonial Pipeline system, and the Sinco products pipe network, which could offer an…
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Don't Stop - Top-Tier Midstreamers Double Down on Expanding Permian-to-Gulf Infrastructure
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12:39In their first earnings calls of 2025, the handful of large midstream companies that provide the gamut of “wellhead-to-water” services in Texas laid out plans for yet another round of projects — everything from gas processing plants and takeaway pipelines to fractionators and export terminal expansions. At the same time, many of these same midstrea…
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The Treasure of the Sierra Madre - Mexico's Energy Strategy May Rest on Fate of Natural Gas Pipelines
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8:53A significant shift is underway within Mexico’s energy landscape, reflected by the development of large-scale oil and gas infrastructure projects in the country, particularly the Southeast Gateway and Sierra Madre gas pipelines that would move U.S.-sourced natural gas across Mexico. These projects — the first an undersea pipe in the Gulf of Mexico …
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Pride and Joy - PADD 3 Maintains Dominant Position on Shale Production, Extensive Refining Capacity
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11:34PADD 3 has it all — crude oil production from the prolific Permian Basin, a string of refineries along the Gulf Coast, and a fair bit of refined product consumption. Its importance in crude oil production and refining has allowed it to play a central role in the nation’s crude oil supply-and-demand balance. This is especially true regarding crude o…
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Running on Empty - Global Refining Capacity Expected to Grow at Slowest Pace in 30 Years
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17:19Globally, government policies have shifted away from petroleum in recent years toward lower-carbon alternatives such as renewable fuels and electric vehicles (EVs), largely driven by worries about climate change. This has pushed down investment in petroleum refining, and RBN’s Refined Fuels Analytics (RFA) practice predicts global net refining capa…
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Should I Stay or Should I Go? - A Big Propane Wholesaler's Exit Raises Questions for Its Peers
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9:44The decision by the U.S.’s largest independent propane wholesaler to exit the business serves as a reminder of the challenges and risks that companies like it face. The move also highlights the fact that at least some other independent wholesalers — including the presumed buyer of NGL Energy Partners’ propane-related assets — believe that by increa…
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