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A Crack in the Rock of Gibraltar, Encore Edition - Crazy Pricing for Mont Belvieu Propane Obliterates Hedges
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Exactly the same product. Exactly the same day. In storage very nearby. Yet their prices diverged by 17 cents per gallon — a spread equivalent to $7 per barrel. That’s a very substantial difference for prices that typically are almost indistinguishable, differing by an average of only 0.3% in recent years. The disparity roiled the financial underpi…
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We Three Kings - U.S., Australia and Qatar Look to Grow LNG Exports Amidst Global Uncertainty
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About 60% of global LNG imports in 2023 came from only three countries — Australia, Qatar and the U.S. — sometimes dubbed the “LNG Trinity.” All three are geographically remote from each other and differ considerably in terms of configuration, politics, economics and strategy. But all three are looking to consolidate and potentially grow their glob…
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Give It Up - PetroChina's Decision to Give Up TMX Commitment Puts Focus on Demand, Logistics
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PetroChina’s recent decision to offload its 20-year commitment to use the Trans Mountain Pipeline expansion (TMX) might seem like a bit of a head-scratcher on the surface, especially since Asian buyers have been expected to take advantage of the increased access to Western Canadian crude oil that TMX provides. But when you factor in the known chall…
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Take A Look At Me Now - Enterprise's Ambitious Goal for Expanding Its Hydrocarbon Liquids Exports
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Enterprise Products Partners continues to grow its export capabilities and set ambitious goals, including one noted by CEO Jim Teague during his appearance at RBN’s recent NACON: PADD 3 conference — growing liquid hydrocarbon exports by about 50% to a remarkable 100 MMbbl per month (100 MMb/month), or about 3.33 MMb/d. And that doesn’t include the …
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It's All Coming Back to Me Now - Efforts To Restock SPR Complicated By Life-Extension Program
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Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) inventories have been climbing over the past year as the Department of Energy (DOE) advances plans to replenish it following the record 180-MMbbl drawdown after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. But DOE officials have said its refilling efforts are complicated by upgrades at three of the four SPR storage sites.…
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Harness Your Hopes - LCI Hydrogen Would Help Reduce GHG Emissions, But Major Challenges Loom
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Increasing the production of low-carbon-intensity (LCI) hydrogen is viewed by many as a way to help the U.S. reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. But so far only minimal amounts of LCI hydrogen are being produced, raising the question of what it would take to significantly ramp up production without breaking the bank. In today’s RBN blog, we …
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Ready to Let Go - Players Are Making Moves in the Booming Gulf Coast Gas Storage Market
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Rising demand for natural gas storage in the Gulf Coast region has spurred growing interest and investment. A number of midstream companies have been making moves, either by expanding their existing storage facilities in Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama or entering the space with acquisitions or plans for greenfield projects. As a result, …
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Give and Take - How the Forward Curve Influences Storage Volumes at the Critical Cushing Oil Hub
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11:58
The small town of Cushing, OK, occupies a central place in the U.S. crude oil market thanks to its hundreds of storage tanks and numerous pipeline connections. And while it might seem far removed from the factors that influence the global crude market, what happens elsewhere directly impacts the storage volumes at Cushing. In today’s RBN blog, we r…
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The Bridge - Southern Spirit Aims to Bolster ERCOT Power Grid While Preserving Its Independence
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If all goes to plan, Texas’s isolated power grid will one day be connected to a pair of neighboring states via a massive transmission line called Southern Spirit. The project is designed to increase grid reliability, reduce blackouts and drive down energy bills, but it could be years before it becomes a reality. And while the transmission line will…
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Only One - There's Nothing Else Quite Like Sawtooth Caverns' NGL and Products Storage Facility
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10:50
It’s relatively common along the U.S. Gulf Coast to use underground salt domes to store crude oil, natural gas, mixed NGLs and so-called NGL “purity products” like ethane and propane. There are also a handful of salt cavern storage facilities in Kansas, Michigan, New York and Virginia. But in the Rockies and the West Coast states they’re rare as he…
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Go Your Own Way - Coterra Energy Continues Shift to Oil With New Permian Deals
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11:57
Just over three years ago, Cabot Oil & Gas — Coterra Energy’s corporate predecessor — was focused exclusively on producing natural gas in the Marcellus Shale. But unlike other gas-centric E&Ps like EQT Corp., Chesapeake Energy and Antero Resources, Cabot decided it was time to diversify. In October 2021, it merged with Cimarex Energy, an oil-and-ga…
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A Crack in the Rock of Gibraltar - Crazy Pricing for Mont Belvieu Propane Obliterates Hedges
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19:31
Exactly the same product. Exactly the same day. In storage very nearby. Yet their prices diverged by 17 cents per gallon — a spread equivalent to $7 per barrel. That’s a very substantial difference for prices that typically are almost indistinguishable, differing by an average of only 0.3% in recent years. The disparity roiled the financial underpi…
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I Will Remember You - When Considering Assets at Risk to Hurricanes, Don't Overlook Offshore Wind
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The Atlantic hurricane season often evokes worries about the oil and refined products industry, even far up the East Coast, thanks to the widespread impact of Superstorm Sandy a dozen years ago. But electricity production could also be at risk should a major storm once again make its way up the Eastern Seaboard thanks to the large-scale wind farms …
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The Long Road, Encore Edition - More EVs Coming, But Forecasts For Sales Growth, Impact On Gasoline Demand Vary
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There’s been a lot of speculation about whether the pace of electric vehicle (EV) adoption has slowed, with JD Power now expecting EVs to make up 9% of U.S. new-car sales in 2024, down from its earlier estimate of 12.4% but still up from 7% in 2023. The group remains bullish on EVs in the long term, expecting market share to reach 36% by 2030 and 5…
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Hot to Go! - Rising NGL Production Spurs Buildout of Flexible LPG/Ethane Export Capacity
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A slew of LPG, ethane and ethylene export projects are underway along the Gulf Coast, a direct result of rising U.S. NGL production and generally flat domestic demand. Three of the projects will provide “flex” capacity of some sort — that is, the facilities will be able to shift between LPG and ethane exports or, in some cases, between ethane and e…
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Hard to Handle - Hydrogen's Unique Properties Make Using Natural Gas Infrastructure a Difficult Task
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One of the biggest challenges to a significant expansion of the commercial hydrogen market in the U.S. is the lack of a comprehensive transportation network. That has spurred interest from utilities, government agencies and others interested in utilizing or repurposing parts of the existing (and extensive) natural gas infrastructure to ship hydroge…
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Over the Hump - Trident Pipeline Would be a Game-Changer for Gulf Coast LNG Terminals
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One of the most prevalent stories in the U.S. natural gas market over the past decade has been soaring associated gas production in the Permian Basin and the question of what to do with it. Numerous pipelines have been built over the years connecting Permian gas to demand regions, and more are in the works. The largest source of incremental demand …
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Southern Cross - Pace of Gas-Flow Growth Through Agua Dulce Will Depend on Downstream Projects
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There may be ongoing uncertainty about the timing and volumes, but it’s not difficult to anticipate that natural gas flows through the Agua Dulce Hub near Corpus Christi will be rising significantly over the next few years as new LNG export capacity starts up and new gas-fired power plants come online in South Texas and south of the border in Mexic…
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I Wanna Drive You Home - PADD 3 Exports Surge as Competition Intensifies Among Major Players
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10:52
The Gulf Coast is the engine of U.S. energy markets and its fiercely competitive. Over the past decade, monumental growth of crude oil and NGL production, predominantly from the Permian Basin, has led to a surge in exports, with more than 90% of these liquids departing from marine terminals along the Texas and Louisiana coasts. To facilitate that g…
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It's Time to Go - What's Behind the Planned Closure of Phillips 66's Los Angeles Refinery?
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Weak refining margins, rising regulatory compliance costs, softening demand for gasoline and the push for lower-carbon alternatives like batteries and renewable diesel have each contributed to a steady decline in California’s refining capacity the past few years. Now, Phillips 66’s plan to idle its 139-Mb/d Los Angeles Refinery in Q4 2025 will leav…
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Can I Kick It? - 'Hydrogen-Rich' Gasoline Might Provide a Boost for Refiners, But Challenges Remain
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Oxygen-containing gasoline additives called oxygenates, including ethanol, have provided an octane boost to the U.S. gasoline pool since 2000. This has allowed refineries to reduce the octane of refinery-produced gasoline, which increases their gasoline production capacity and efficiency while simultaneously helping achieve the goals for cleaner, l…
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Last Man Standing - BridgeTex On Track to Be the Last Permian-to-Houston Pipe to Fill Up
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Permian producers have enjoyed an abundance of outbound options since the pandemic, with egress capacity surpassing production. While a significant amount of capacity remains available, not all routes have proven equal in the eyes of the market, with Corpus Christi and Houston the most sought-after destinations for Permian crude. In today’s RBN blo…
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Where You Lead I Will Follow - Access to Uninterrupted Power Just One Factor in Siting Data Centers
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The prospect of a massive buildout of data centers across the U.S. has utilities preparing for a surge in power demand. And while access to an uninterrupted power supply is a critical factor for companies deciding where to build a data center, it’s not the only variable — power prices and proximity to customers also play a major role. In today’s RB…
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I Was Made for Storing You - How Much Natural Gas Storage Capacity Does Alberta Really Have?
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For natural gas markets to operate as efficiently as possible, a lot of data is needed, including up-to-date estimates of the amount of gas in storage and the physical capacity to hold it. For too long, Canadian natural gas markets have been operating with an obvious blind spot: little to no reliable storage data. With Alberta being home to the lar…
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Time to Say Goodbye - Chevron Trimming Non-Core Assets in Advance of Closing on Hess Deal
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The multibillion-dollar acquisitions that have become almost routine in the upstream sector the past few years are typically accompanied by asset rationalization — in other words, a thoughtful look at which elements of the pro forma company make sense followed by the divestiture of those that don’t. In many cases, a key aim of that rationalization …
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Center of the Universe - The Midland Crude Oil Hub, Where Permian Pricing and Takeaway Converge
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Midland, TX, is the epicenter of the Permian Basin. As the largest crude oil hub in the region, it boasts about 20 MMbbl of crude oil storage and extensive downstream connectivity, with the ability to deliver to local refineries, Wichita Falls, Cushing, Nederland, Houston and even Corpus Christi (albeit indirectly). It’s also where Midland WTI pric…
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We'll Be Together - To Meet Power-Demand Surge, Data Centers Increasingly Turning to Nuclear Power
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The growing number of energy-intensive data centers coming online across the U.S. is spurring utilities to ramp up plans to add new sources of power generation but also complicating efforts to decarbonize. One of the hottest topics in energy today is how plans to restart shuttered nuclear plants and build new small modular reactors (SMRs) could hel…
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Don't You (Forget About Me) - Sandy's Legacy a Reminder That East Coast Also Faces Hurricane Risks
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As the Atlantic hurricane season churns out storms that regularly threaten the U.S. Gulf Coast, it can be easy to forget that the East Coast — an important refining center and refined-products market — is not immune from their impact. A dozen years ago this month, Superstorm Sandy roared ashore in New Jersey, wreaking havoc with storm surges and fi…
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Bad Moon Rising - Oil Producers Focus on High-Grading Crude Portfolio as Gas Price Impact is Minimal
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The upcoming presidential election has filled the airways with discussions around crucial issues, some with dramatic short-term (yet highly variable) impacts and others that will play out over several years. The impact of the critical short-term issue facing oil and gas producers today — historically low natural gas prices — varies depending on the…
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Ain't No Mountain High Enough - Shell's Pennsylvania Petchem Complex Finally Firing On All Cylinders
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Shell’s petrochemical complex in Western Pennsylvania has had plenty of challenges on its way to startup and full operation. Announced a dozen years ago, the project was set back by COVID-related construction delays and a rougher-than-expected production ramp-up. But that’s all in the past now (fingers crossed) and the ethane-rich Northeast finally…
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Love Is A Long Road - Carbon-Capture Projects Reach Major Milestones, But Not All The News is Good
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Progress in the carbon-capture industry can be slow, given the extended permitting process for sequestration wells, uncertain long-term outlook and skepticism about the real-world effectiveness in reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The past several weeks have been a better-than-usual period for advocates of carbon capture and sequestration (C…
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Black Cow - As the Oil Patch Matures, It Must Adapt To A Changing Opportunity Landscape
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Since the advent of the Shale Revolution, the U.S. has experienced a massive surge in oil, gas and NGL production — creating a bonanza of opportunities. But the attitudes of energy companies, owners and investors have shifted from “drill-baby-drill” to a focus on returning value to shareholders. It’s an evolution reminiscent of the economic concept…
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Trouble - With China's Economy in the Doldrums, Is Global Oil Demand Growth Likely to Stall?
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The International Energy Agency (IEA) and others have lowered growth targets for global oil consumption in the short term, while traders began a sell-off in crude benchmarks before the recent recovery in oil prices. Their main concern? China, which has accounted for a large part of global demand growth, has recently seen a sharp drop in oil demand …
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Brave - Armed With New Growth Plans, Gulf of Mexico Drillers Endure Hurricanes And More
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The Gulf of Mexico (GOM) may account for less than one-fifth of U.S. oil production but it’s a region that’s more than holding its own. Drillers plan to expand production, using advanced technologies to tap untouched reserves in deeper waters. Still, Gulf Coast output has always been at risk from severe storms, just like the onshore outlets and inf…
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The Long Road - More EVs Coming, But Forecasts For Sales Growth, Impact On Gasoline Demand Vary
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There’s been a lot of speculation about whether the pace of electric vehicle (EV) adoption has slowed, with JD Power now expecting EVs to make up 9% of U.S. new-car sales in 2024, down from its earlier estimate of 12.4% but still up from 7% in 2023. The group remains bullish on EVs in the long term, expecting market share to reach 36% by 2030 and 5…
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Lessons Learned - Difficulties in Bringing New Units Online at Vogtle Could Help Future Nuclear Projects
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There is a lot of talk about the best way to meet the expected increases in U.S. power demand, driven by manufacturing growth and the rapid development of large-scale data centers, which has sparked renewed interest in nuclear power. The most recent reactors to come online were Units 3 and 4 at Georgia’s Vogtle nuclear power station, but they came …
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Harness Your Hopes - How and Where Will U.S. Low-Carbon-Intensity Hydrogen Expand?
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Given the frothy targets to reduce U.S. carbon emissions set by the 2016 Paris Agreement and an anticipated expanding role in that process for low-carbon-intensity (LCI) hydrogen that is barely being produced in 2024, it’s hard to believe there’s a path forward. Yet one recent study from industry participants in the National Petroleum Council (NPC)…
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Back Where it All Begins - Orla, Permian's Westernmost Crude Hub, Surrounded By Lower-Quality Oil
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In the far western reaches of the Permian Basin lies Orla, TX — a town steeped in history and significance. Orla, which can be fittingly translated into “border” in Spanish, is about 40 miles north of Pecos, near the New Mexico border in Reeves County. Founded in 1890 as a section house for the Pecos Valley Railroad, Orla evolved from a modest stop…
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Ready to Let Go - Are Gulf Coast Gas Storage Rates High Enough to Support Greenfield Projects?
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Many of the natural gas storage projects under development along the Gulf Coast involve the expansion of existing salt-cavern complexes and, with that, the sharing of at least some already-built infrastructure. That typically saves money, and the lower capital costs can help make a project a “go.” But at least a few well-sited projects competing fo…
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Union Man - Short-Lived Dockworker Strike Stalls Container Traffic, But Impact on Liquids Seen as Minor
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Thousands of unionized dockworkers walked off the job at ports along the U.S. East and Gulf coasts October 1 in the first work stoppage for those regions since 1977. Three days later, they’re heading back to work with a tentative deal on wages in hand and an agreement to continue negotiating on other issues through mid-January. The strike didn’t th…
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I’ll Be Around - CITGO Refineries to Be Bought by Amber Energy Seen as Survivors in Competitive Market
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It now seems likely that Elliott Investment Management’s Amber Energy will acquire CITGO Petroleum for $7.3 billion in mid-2025, thereby ending a yearslong legal drama about the fate of CITGO’s three large U.S. refineries and related pipelines and terminal assets. So what exactly is Amber buying and how will the refineries in question fare in the i…
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Ready to Let Go - New Gulf Coast Gas Storage Coming Online, With Still More Capacity Being Planned
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As a group, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama have more than 1.1 trillion cubic feet of natural gas storage capacity, most of it along — or within easy reach of — the Gulf Coast, with its long-and-growing list of LNG export terminals as well as gas-consuming industries and gas-fired power plants. That’s a good thing, but still more gas stor…
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Gimme Shelter - Wind, Flooding, Outages Add to Risks for Onshore Assets in Hurricane Season
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Storms that form in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) during hurricane season don’t just dissipate once they make landfall and can inflict havoc on onshore assets. Storm damage and flooding can delay plant restarts, but so can power outages, as we saw when Hurricane Beryl hit the Texas/Louisiana region in July. And while there were no major refining or prod…
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Bustin’ Out - EPIC Crude Pipeline Running at Capacity, Spurring Talk About a Possible Expansion
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12:59
Hundreds of miles separate the Permian Basin from the U.S. Gulf Coast, but in the Shale Era traversing that span has become increasingly important to Permian producers. Billions of dollars have been invested to expand capacity to move Permian production — crude, natural gas or NGLs — to the Gulf Coast to take advantage of surging export markets. In…
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I Guess (They’d) Rather Be in Colorado - Midstream Consolidation in the DJ Basin
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The Denver-Julesburg Basin isn’t the Permian — no argument there. But like its much bigger brother in West Texas and southeastern New Mexico, the DJ Basin has been a hotbed of M&A in both the upstream and midstream sectors. Among DJ producers, Chevron, Civitas Resources and Occidental Petroleum (Oxy) are now the top dogs, with big hopes for the fut…
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Do The Evolution - Longhorn Pipeline’s Flexibility Has Made It a Critical Conduit for Permian Crude
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The great Texas philosopher Matthew McConaughey once said, “I don’t want to just revolve. I want to evolve.” Few pieces of crude oil infrastructure embody that spirit of adaptation quite like ONEOK’s Longhorn Pipeline. Starting out as a Houston-bound conduit for Permian crude, Longhorn later reversed its flow and started moving refined products, th…
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Bad Moon Rising - Diversified E&Ps Rebalancing Portfolios to Crude Oil as Natural Gas Revenues Sink
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The recent bankruptcy filing by Tupperware, once a staple of nearly every kitchen, is yet another reminder that long-term corporate success depends on managing through the ever-changing business environment. Many blogs have been written about the ultimate impact on oil and gas producers of the decades-long shift to lower-carbon energy sources, but …
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Shop ’Till You Drop - Is the Consolidation Trend Ending in British Columbia’s Montney Gas Formation?
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British Columbia’s portion of the immense unconventional Montney formation has been the epicenter of Western Canada’s rapidly rising natural gas production in recent years. It should come as no surprise then that it has also become fertile ground for numerous acquisitions of companies — or some portion of their assets — by more nimble and financial…
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I Guess (They’d) Rather Be in Colorado - Upstream and Midstream Consolidation in the DJ Basin
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Thanks largely to the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin, Colorado ranks fourth among the 50 states in crude oil production, topped only by Texas, New Mexico and North Dakota — and, if it were a state, the offshore Gulf of Mexico (GOM). It’s also noteworthy that more than 80% of Colorado’s oil production comes from one county — Weld, the heart of the DJ a…
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Ready to Let Go - Gulf Coast Gas Storage Activity Picks Up, and More Projects Are In the Works
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Very little new natural gas storage capacity has been built along the Gulf Coast the past few years, but that’s changing. Driven by rising demand from power generators, LNG operators/offtakers, marketers and traders for storage with high deliverability rates — and by improving storage economics — new salt-cavern and depleted-reservoir capacity is n…
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