Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: CIV: a story, published by Richard Ngo on June 16, 2024 on LessWrong.The room was cozy despite its size, with wood-lined walls reflecting the dim lighting. At one en…

Have you heard this before? In clinical trials, medicines have to be compared to a placebo to separate the effect of the medicine from the psychological effect of taking the drug. The patient's belief in the power of the medicine has a strong effect on its own. In fact, for some drugs such as antidepressants, the psychological effect of taking a pi…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: MIRI's June 2024 Newsletter, published by Harlan on June 15, 2024 on LessWrong.MIRI updatesMIRI Communications Manager Gretta Duleba explainsMIRI's current communica…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Rational Animations' intro to mechanistic interpretability, published by Writer on June 15, 2024 on LessWrong.In our new video, we talk about research on interpretin…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Shard Theory - is it true for humans?, published by Rishika on June 14, 2024 on LessWrong.And is it a good model for value learning in AI?TLDRShard theory proposes a…

Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.As an AI researcher who wants to do technical work that helps humanity, there is a strong drive to find a research area that is definitely helpful somehow, so that you don’t have to worry about how your work will be applied, and thus you don’t have to worry about …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AI #68: Remarkably Reasonable Reactions, published by Zvi on June 14, 2024 on LessWrong.The big news this week was Apple Intelligence being integrated deeply into al…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: OpenAI appoints Retired U.S. Army General Paul M. Nakasone to Board of Directors, published by Joel Burget on June 14, 2024 on LessWrong.Today, Retired U.S. Army Gen…

Preamble: Delta vs Crux This section is redundant if you already read My AI Model Delta Compared To Yudkowsky. I don’t natively think in terms of cruxes. But there's a similar concept which is more natural for me, which I’ll call a delta. Imagine that you and I each model the world (or some part of it) as implementing some program. Very oversimplif…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: [Paper] AI Sandbagging: Language Models can Strategically Underperform on Evaluations, published by Teun van der Weij on June 13, 2024 on LessWrong.We have written a…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: microwave drilling is impractical, published by bhauth on June 13, 2024 on LessWrong.microwave drilling startupsI've seen a bunch of articles about startups trying t…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AiPhone, published by Zvi on June 13, 2024 on LessWrong.Apple was for a while rumored to be planning launch for iPhone of AI assisted emails, texts, summaries and so…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: My AI Model Delta Compared To Christiano, published by johnswentworth on June 12, 2024 on LessWrong.Preamble: Delta vs CruxThis section is redundant if you already r…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Anthropic's Certificate of Incorporation, published by Zach Stein-Perlman on June 12, 2024 on LessWrong.Yesterday I obtained Anthropic's[1]Certificate of Incorporati…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: [New Feature] Your Subscribed Feed, published by Ruby on June 12, 2024 on LessWrong.tl;drLessWrong now has a Subscribed tab (next to the Latest tab and Enriched tab[…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AI takeoff and nuclear war, published by owencb on June 11, 2024 on LessWrong.SummaryAs we approach and pass through an AI takeoff period, the risk of nuclear war (o…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: "Metastrategic Brainstorming", a core building-block skill, published by Raemon on June 11, 2024 on LessWrong.I want to develop rationality training, which is aimed …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: [Valence series] 4. Valence & Liking / Admiring, published by Steven Byrnes on June 11, 2024 on LessWrong.4.1 Post summary / Table of contentsPart of the Valence ser…

Preamble: Delta vs Crux I don’t natively think in terms of cruxes. But there's a similar concept which is more natural for me, which I’ll call a delta. Imagine that you and I each model the world (or some part of it) as implementing some program. Very oversimplified example: if I learn that e.g. it's cloudy today, that means the “weather” variable …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Soviet comedy film recommendations, published by Nina Rimsky on June 10, 2024 on LessWrong.I'm a big fan of the Soviet comedy directorsEldar Ryazanov,Leonid Gaidai, …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: On Dwarksh's Podcast with Leopold Aschenbrenner, published by Zvi on June 10, 2024 on LessWrong.Previously: Quotes from Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: My AI Model Delta Compared To Yudkowsky, published by johnswentworth on June 10, 2024 on LessWrong.Preamble: Delta vs CruxI don't natively think in terms of cruxes. …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: What if a tech company forced you to move to NYC?, published by KatjaGrace on June 10, 2024 on LessWrong.It's interesting to me how chill people sometimes are about …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Data Wall is Important, published by JustisMills on June 10, 2024 on LessWrong.Modern AI is trained on ahuge fraction of the internet, especially at the cutting …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Why I don't believe in the placebo effect, published by transhumanist atom understander on June 10, 2024 on LessWrong.Have you heard this before? In clinical trials,…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Dumbing down, published by Martin Sustrik on June 9, 2024 on LessWrong.In past few years I've been blogging in Slovak, that is, downscaling from writing in English, …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Demystifying "Alignment" through a Comic, published by milanrosko on June 9, 2024 on LessWrong.I hope you enjoyed this brief overview. For the full comic visit:https…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Two easy things that maybe Just Work to improve AI discourse, published by jacobjacob on June 8, 2024 on LessWrong.So, it seems AI discourse on X / Twitter is gettin…

(Cross-posted from Twitter.) My take on Leopold Aschenbrenner's new report: I think Leopold gets it right on a bunch of important counts. Three that I especially care about: Full AGI and ASI soon. (I think his arguments for this have a lot of holes, but he gets the basic point that superintelligence looks 5 or 15 years off rather than 50+.) This te…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Natural Latents Are Not Robust To Tiny Mixtures, published by johnswentworth on June 7, 2024 on LessWrong.In ourpreviousnaturallatentposts, our core theorem typicall…

Last month I posted about humming as a cheap and convenient way to flood your nose with nitric oxide (NO), a known antiviral. Alas, the economists were right, and the benefits were much smaller than I estimated. The post contained one obvious error and one complication. Both were caught by Thomas Kwa, for which he has my gratitude. When he initiall…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Quotes from Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness Paper, published by Zvi on June 7, 2024 on LessWrong.This post is different.Usually I offer commentary and …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: GPT2, Five Years On, published by Joel Burget on June 7, 2024 on LessWrong.Jack Clark's retrospective on GPT2 is full of interesting policy thoughts, I recommend rea…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AI #67: Brief Strange Trip, published by Zvi on June 7, 2024 on LessWrong.I had a great time at LessOnline. It was a both a working trip and also a trip to an altern…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Is Claude a mystic?, published by jessicata on June 7, 2024 on LessWrong.There's an odd tendency for large language models such as Claude to output spiritual meta co…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awareness", published by Rob Bensinger on June 6, 2024 on LessWrong.(Cross-posted from Twitter.)My take on Leopold Aschenbre…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Humming is not a free $100 bill, published by Elizabeth on June 6, 2024 on LessWrong.Last month I posted about humming as a cheap and convenient way to flood your no…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: SB 1047 Is Weakened, published by Zvi on June 6, 2024 on LessWrong.It looks like Scott Weiner's SB 1047 is now severely weakened.Some of the changes are good clarifi…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Book review: The Quincunx, published by cousin it on June 6, 2024 on LessWrong.The Quincunx is a 1989 novel by Charles Palliser, set in early 1800s England. I want t…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: rapid psychological growth, published by Chipmonk on June 6, 2024 on LessWrong.After a one-hour session with an exceptional counselor, I never suffered over that rom…

Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.We are pleased to announce ILIAD — a 5-day conference bringing together 100+ researchers to build strong scientific foundations for AI alignment. ***Apply to attend by June 30!*** When: Aug 28 - Sep 3, 2024 Where: @Lighthaven (Berkeley, US) What: A mix of topic-sp…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Former OpenAI Superalignment Researcher: Superintelligence by 2030, published by Julian Bradshaw on June 5, 2024 on LessWrong.The AGI race has begun. We are building…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Evidence of Learned Look-Ahead in a Chess-Playing Neural Network, published by Erik Jenner on June 5, 2024 on LessWrong.Paper authors: Erik Jenner, Shreyas Kapur, Va…